1. Introduction
Proponents of income and job
guarantee schemes agree on two things. The first is that both the market economy
and the modern welfare state have failed many members of society by increasing
the precariousness of the labor market, reducing safety nets, and leaving many
without the basic resources for a descent living. Poverty, income inequality
and unemployment are pervasive features of capitalism and modern welfare often
takes the form of punitive measures aiming to discipline the “undeserving” poor
or the unemployed. The second is that to begin addressing these problems,
public policy needs to provide some form of universal guarantees to all
citizens. It is the nature of these guarantees that represents the sharp
division in policy recommendations.
Income guarantee supporters
champion the provision of an adequate standard of living by affording sufficient
resources to all member of society. They argue that this objective can be
achieved by guaranteeing a minimum income to all (a basic income guarantee, or
BIG hereafter). Job creation proponents want to guarantee access to a job that
could provide a minimum income to the economically active population (and their
dependents). They believe that adequate resources can be provided by
guaranteeing a job to all, usually through programs as the Employer of Last
Resort (ELR). The key distinction between the two is that basic income advocates
want to decouple the income-work relationship observed in modern economies on
the basis that economic justice and freedom require that resources are provided
to individuals without the compulsion to work. Job guarantee supporters, on the
other hand, want to address the unemployment problem, arguing that there are
many people who want to work but cannot find employment.
In this paper we advance two
arguments. The first is that basic income guarantees are unlikely to
achieve the objectives of alleviating poverty, income inequality or poor
standards of living, because the proposals have an inherent highly inflationary
bias with disastrous consequences for the currency. An understanding of modern
monetary systems elucidates why the provision of income without requiring that
the recipient expends any effort in exchange drastically reduces the value of
the currency. This onset of inflationary pressures, in fact, renders the basic
income guarantee self-defeating. By implication then, the proposal cannot
ensure the freedom and opportunity that BIG supporters claim it would. The poor
bear much of the brunt of inflation and thus precisely those whom BIG aims to
help suffer from that very same policy.
We next argue that certain direct
job creation programs such as ELR achieve most of the common goals that income
and job guarantee supporters share, without introducing the crucial problem of
inflation. We explain that such programs can be designed so that they are not
coercive or demeaning. Neither should they be means tested. An ELR program is
neither slavery, nor unemployment by another name. Using the Argentinean
experience with job creation, we demonstrate how ELR can advance a sense of
civic duty, citizenship, social cohesion, reciprocity, and community involvement
while guaranteeing full employment—all without the harmful consequence of price
instability. In addition the Argentinean experience demonstrates that an ELR
program can contribute to the redefinition of the meaning of work, by commanding
recognition that certain forms of labor, such as caring and community
involvement, are socially useful. The Argentinean program Jefes de Hogar
(Head of Household) has also promoted democracy by empowering individuals that
had previously been marginalized. All of these consequences are considered
highly desirable by basic income supporters.
We do think that there is common
ground between BIG and ELR and that these are not competing but complementary
policies. We agree that basic income is needed for those who are too young, too
old, or too ill to work (Tcherneva 2003). Further, we agree that a less
generous form of BIG would not necessarily cause high inflation. For example,
mailing an annual check of $100 to all American citizens is not likely to cause
much inflation. Rather, it is the intention of some BIG proponents to guarantee
a decent standard of living by mailing a check sufficient to purchase that
standard of living to all Americans. We believe that will cause high inflation,
if not hyperinflation. The dollar price of a decent standard of living would
rise, necessitating rising annual payments and (probably) a benefit-price
spiral. Further, the incentive to work would be reduced, so that employment and
output would fall. Some BIG supporters want to include a progressive income tax
to “finance” the BIG payments (Aronowitz and Cutler 1998, Aronowitz and DiFazio
1994); this would only make matters worse and hasten hyperinflation by further
reducing the incentive to work for “market” income. The logical conclusion would
be hyperinflation with output falling. In practice, this could take some time
and it is possible that hyperinflation and zero output would not result for
months or even years. (Most supporters propose a flat, but quite high,
tax--Clark proposes flat taxes for Ireland at 47.14% and for the US 35.2%.
Finally Van Parijs and James Meade have proposed a regressive tax! A flat tax
would not provide such a large disincentive to work, while a regressive tax
would practically ensure that no one would want to work at lower wage jobs
subject to high tax rates.)
2. Inalienable Rights
a. The Right to Income
The moral justifications for basic
income can be traced back to the writings of Thomas Paine (1796). In the modern
literature, among the most ardent supporters of this idea is Philippe Van Parijs,
who champions a profound reform in policy based on the ethical imperative of
securing freedom, equality, and justice for all.
The basic idea rests on Van Parijs’s concept of real freedom, which
ensures full membership and participation in social life to all members of
society (1995).
The libertarian concept of real freedom rests on two pillars. The first
is that individuals are formally free within a well-enforced structure of
property rights and personal liberties. The second is the concern with the
worth of that individual liberty.
This second pillar is in fact the crux of the pro-basic income argument.
According to Van Parijs “the worth or real value of a person’s liberty depends
on the resources the person has at her command to make use of her liberty (Parijs,
2001, 14).” Thus our object of concern, Parijs continues, must be
the distribution of
opportunity—understood as access to the means that people need for doing what
they might want to do—[which is] designed to offer the greatest possible real
opportunity to those with fewest opportunities, subject to everyone else’s
formal freedom. (ibid)
Real freedom then is not only a matter of
rights but also of means (Parijs, 1995, 30). Thus the provision of a basic
income to all which offers equal access to resources and opportunity is seen as
an unalienable human right.
b. The Right to a Job
Job guarantee supporters see employment not
only as an economic condition but also as an inalienable right. Wray and
Forstater (2004) provide a concise statement of the justifications for the right
to work as a fundamental prerequisite for social justice. They first trace the
philosophical origins of the argument to John Dewey, who maintained that:
The first great demand of a better
social order…is the guarantee of the right, to every individual who is capable
of it, to work—not the mere legal right, but a right which is enforceable so
that the individual will always have the opportunity to engage in some form of
useful activity and if the ordinary economic machinery breaks down through a
crisis of some sort, then it is the duty of the state to come to the rescue and
see that individuals have something to do that is worthwhile—not breaking stone
in a stoneyard, or something else to get a soup ticket with, but some kind of
productive work which a self-respecting person may engage in with interest and
with more than mere pecuniary profit. (Dewey 1939, 420-21, quoted in Wray and
Forstater 2004)
Some job guarantee supporters such as Harvey
(1989) and Burgess and Mitchell (1998) argue for the right to work on the basis
that it is a fundamental human (or natural) right. Such treatments find
supports in modern legal proclamations such as the United Nations Universal
Declaration of Human Rights or the Employment Act of 1946 and the Full
Employment Act of 1978. As these authors recognize, social justice arguments
rest on more than the official recognition of the right to work as a fundamental
human right. Amartya Sen, for example, supports the right to work on the basis
that the economic and social costs of unemployment are staggering with
far-reaching consequences beyond the single dimension of a loss of income (Sen
1999, p. 94). Another Nobel Prize Winner William S. Vickrey (2004) identified
unemployment with “cruel vandalism” and spent the latter years of his life
outlining the social and economic inequities of unemployment and devising
strategies for its solution.
In sum we believe that the justifications for
the right to income and the right to work on the grounds that they are
inalienable human rights, consistent with the goals of social justice and
freedom, are not incompatible. But the theoretical discord arises when we study
each policy in the context of modern monetary economies. It then becomes clear
that income guarantees fail to deliver their promises.
3. The Basic Income Guarantee and Its Objectives
There are multiple variants of the
guaranteed income idea—it generally goes under the names of “territorial
dividend”, “state bonus”, “demogrant”, “citizen’s wage” “universal benefit” and
“basic income” (Parijs, 2004, 7). Generally these refer to a universal payment
to each citizen, irrespective of gender, marital or employment status. There is
another type of basic income called the negative income tax (NIT),
which guarantees a basic income to those who cannot earn adequate or any private
sector income. In other words, those individuals whose income falls below a
certain tax threshold, receive a negative tax to bring them up to the minimum
that is promised. Most modern income guarantee advocates support a basic income
scheme that is not conditional on labor market participation the way the
negative income tax is, and therefore, NIT will not be the object of our
attention here.
Van Parijs offers perhaps the
broadest and most widely accepted definition of basic income:
By universal income I mean
an income paid by a government, at a uniform level at regular intervals, to each
adult member of society. The grant is paid, and its level is fixed, irrespective
of whether the person is rich or poor, lives alone or with others, is willing to
work or not. (Parijs, 2001, 5)
The essential feature of BIG for
the purposes of our paper is that basic income is not conditional on labor
market participation.
BIG Goals
Basic income proposals are
motivated by a plurality of goals. Justice as we explained in section 2 is a
core justification, but basic income is considered just also because it
liberates individuals from submitting to demeaning wage-labor employment and
allows them to pursue the “realization of one’s conception of the good life” (Parijs
2004, 18). In essence, BIG offers the freedom to say “no” to undignified forms
of employment and to choose the form of activity an individual wishes to pursue
(Widerquist, 2004).
The underlying assumption is that the labor
market can no longer ensure adequate wages for all to cover their basic needs.
Global transformation, high inflation, and protracted periods of unemployment
have marginalized those individuals whom the market mechanism has found to be
redundant (Standing 1992, Offe 1992).
As conventional policies are
considered to be lacking, BIG meets the dual challenge of poverty and
unemployment without the general welfare traps of forced inactivity or low-paid
inactivity (Parijs 1995, Clark 2002).
Thus basic income provides a social safety net, which arguably eliminates the
poverty and unemployment traps, while at the same time enhances individual’s
autonomy and worker’s bargaining power.
Another major goal of BIG is the advancement of
socially inclusive society and the improvement of the socio-economic situation
(Clark 2002, Fitzpatrick, 2003). In addition BIG increases efficiency. Clark
(2002) argues that solely monetary measures of efficiency are inadequate and
proposes the following definition:
Efficiency is concerned with the
improvement of the socio-economic situation of the whole country, with and
emphasis on maximizing social participation in all its forms. (Clark, 2002, 17)
By enhancing social inclusion and
civic attachment, then income guarantees also enhance efficiency.
How big should BIG be?
If a basic income is pitched at a
level insufficient to cover an individual’s basic needs, then it is partial. A
full basic income will be at a subsistence level (Parijs 1992 237n27) or at the
official poverty line (Clark, 2004). For Parijs, however, maximization of
individual life-chances and opportunities and, therefore, real freedom, requires
that a basic income be set at the highest sustainable level (Parijs 1992,
1995, 2004). Such an income will (arguably) make a number of public assistance
programs obsolete. Parijs believes however that a partial basic income, which
replaces very few or no public assistance programs, is an important first step
to implementing his more ambitious proposal.
The basic income proposals vary in size. Among
the relatively modest proposals is Atkinson’s revenue neutral participation
income for the UK for 1992, which ranges from £17.75 to £39/per week (or
approximately £925 to £2034 annually) (Atkinson, 1996, 69-70).
Among the boldest schemes is Schutz’s $30,000 per year (Schutz, 1996, 14-15).
Generally, however, proposals hover around the official poverty line (see
Herbert Simon’s pitch for $8,000 (2001) and Clark’s proposed $9,359 minimum
(2004)). Brian Barry defends a subsistence level basic income (Van Parijs, 2001,
64), while Ronald Dore (ibid, 80) and Parijs see subsistence-level
incomes as the first step toward the highest sustainable income guarantee.
The size of the basic income is crucial for its
ability to accomplish its goals. In the next section we explain what a job
guarantee would look like. As it will become clear, while at first
approximation, the objectives of ELR seem somewhat narrower, the actual positive
effects of the program are substantial. In this sense, ELR has sizeable
positive externalities, which bring about accomplishments, which are considered
highly desirable by BIG supporters.
Some of these goals, such as social cohesion
and civic participation, are much emphasized in the debates over conditionality
requirements for income guarantees. Not all BIG supporters insist on breaking
the income-work relationship. Atkinson for example proposes that:
basic income would be paid
conditional on participation…not limited to labour market participation…but
…would also include people engaging in approved forms of education or training,
caring for young, elderly or dabbled dependants or undertaking approved forms of
voluntary work etc. (Atkinson, 1996, 68-69)
In fact, Atkinson’s participation
income, among others, offers the greatest promise for a marriage between ELR and
BIG.
All of these proposals emphasize the need for defining work very broadly—an
objective considered highly desirable by ELR advocates as well.
4. What is ELR and what are its goals?
There are different versions of
ELR. Harvey’s proposal seeks to provide a public sector job to anyone unable to
find work, with the pay approximating a “market wage”. More highly skilled
workers would receive higher pay. Argentina’s Jefes program (examined
below) targets heads of households and offers a uniform basic payment for what
is essentially half-time work. The version of ELR that we will examine here is
based on Hyman Minsky’s 1965 proposal, developed further at The Center for
Full Employment and Price Stability, University of Missouri-Kansas City and
independently at The Centre of Full Employment and Equity, University of
Newcastle, Australia. The federal government provides funding for a job creation
program that would offer a job to anyone who is ready, willing and able to work.
The compensation would consist of a uniform hourly wage with a package of
benefits. The program could provide for part-time work, for seasonal work, and
for other flexible working conditions as desired by workers. The package of
benefits would be subject to congressional approval, but should include health
care, child care, payment of Social Security taxes, and usual vacations and sick
leave. The wage would also be set by congress and fixed until congress approves
a rate increase—much as the minimum wage is currently legislated. We will
discuss additional details below, including considerations involved in the
initial setting of the wage and benefits package.
ELR Goals
The goals of ELR are to promote
full employment and price stability. ELR aims to provide a job at a living wage
to those who are ready, willing and able to work and who have not found private
sector employment. ELR would not aim to reduce poverty among the inactive
population (except among dependents of workers). However, by promoting price
stability, the economically inactive population could receive benefits by
maintaining the purchasing power of their income (from whatever source). As such
it could be argued that its goals are narrower than those of BIG.
a. Full Employment
There are a variety of definitions
of both full employment and price stability, so it is necessary to define these
terms as we will use them. The old Beveridge definition defines full employment
as a situation in which there are more job vacancies than people seeking
employment. Minsky’s adaptation of this for ELR is a perfectly elastic labor
demand at the uniform basic ELR wage. In other words, a job vacancy is made
available on demand for anyone ready and willing to accept work at the ELR wage.
b. Price Stability
Price stability has been defined
with respect to a constant price index, however, this is not very useful in a
dynamic economy in which an overall index can change simply because the
composition of the basket changes. Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has
defined price stability as a situation in which inflation no longer plays a role
in decision making—a definition for which we find no strong theoretical
justification, and that we find unhelpful on an operational level. We will
define price stability with respect to stability of what Keynes called the wage
unit. Of course, as Keynes recognized, labor is heterogeneous so that wages in a
capitalist economy are anything but uniform. If we could weight labor by skill
(and other relevant variables such as experience, seniority, and so on) we could
reduce all labor units to multiples of a basic, unskilled, unit of labor paid
“the” wage unit. Labor with greater skill (and experience, seniority, and so on)
would be paid a multiple of the wage unit. Price stability is realized as a
constant purchasing power of money in terms of this wage unit. In practice, of
course, this is somewhat problematic. The uniform basic wage paid in the ELR
program, however, could be a reasonable approximation of the wage unit. As we
will explain below, except in unusual circumstances, non-ELR employers would
have to pay at least the ELR wage (including benefits package) to hire workers
away from the pool. Hence, from the perspective of the “labor market”, the last
(marginal) worker that would be hired out of the pool would have to be “worth”
at least the ELR wage to the employer. On the margin, the productivity of the
workers hired out of the pool would vary, so that the value of the dollar would
vary somewhat in terms of the labor unit hired. Stated another way, the dollar
will be “worth” the number of “labor units” it can hire out of the pool. If the
ELR wage is $10 per hour, then the dollar is worth 6 minutes of labor time
(reduced to this simple labor unit). So long as the ELR wage is held constant,
the wage unit (as described here) is constant if the ELR operates as a buffer
stock. It follows that ELR promotes price stability so long as ELR
operates as a buffer stock.
Program Design
As we envision the program, the
federal government provides the funding for the wages and most of the benefits;
it would also provide funding for at least some of the administrative, capital,
and infrastructure needs (more below). However, the actual hiring of most of the
workers would be highly decentralized, and undertaken by not-for-profit
community organizations, and state and local governments. We are skeptical of
for-profit participation in this program because of the likely substitution
effects—however, it is conceivable that a carefully designed program could
include some funding of private firm hiring of ELR workers. Below we will
discuss how Argentina has designed a decentralized program in which communities
formulate projects and then apply for funds to hire ELR workers. As we discuss
later, this helps to ensure that the work performed by ELR workers produces
“output” valued by the community. This can be critical for maintaining political
support for the program.
Obviously the process of actually
employing a worker in ELR is somewhat complicated. Let us take the example of a
private sector worker who has just lost her job. She may have a severance
package that includes employer-provided unemployment benefits, hence, prefers to
devote herself to full-time job search; she may also have state-provided
unemployment benefits with a specified duration; and she may have savings that
allow her to postpone accepting a job for some number of months as she seeks the
highest offers. So long as she is satisfied with such a situation, she is not
involved with the ELR program. At some point, she may decide that she is not
going to find an acceptable job offer and she has exhausted her unemployment
benefits and savings, so she seeks work in the ELR program. She will register at
her local ELR employment office, which begins to try to match her interests and
skills with local ELR employers. These employers have already submitted
proposals to employ ELR workers, received approval, filed with the employment
office, and agreed to submit to oversight, accounting, and reporting
requirements.
Matching the worker with an
appropriate job can take some time, during which she could begin receiving her
ELR checks, depending on program design. Specific job search tasks could be
assigned so that she would look for both ELR and non-ELR jobs. Perhaps it would
be necessary to offer a temporary ELR job that was not a good match for her
particular skills and interests until a better match could be made. In some
cases, the worker might be offered training courses or courses in basic
literacy, as appropriate—again, depending on program design. The intermediate
goal is to match the worker to a job that she can perform and in which she can
maintain (and perhaps improve) basic work skills while enabling the ELR employer
to make progress on the community project. The long run goal, which is
ultimately the most important goal, is to move the worker into non-ELR work.
This is the primary reason that the employment office will try to achieve a good
match. Functioning of the ELR program is not seriously impaired even if good
matches are not made because so long as ELR workers are actually working, they
are demonstrating their employability to the private sector. At the margin, this
must be better than remaining at home while collecting unemployment or welfare
checks. Still, it is obviously in the interests of the worker and of society to
try to find something useful for the ELR worker to do, and which utilizes and
enhances the ELR worker’s skills so that she will become a more desirable
employee from the perspective of non-ELR employers.
Answers to some confused questions about program
design:
1. How to handle problem workers: Critics of ELR
have raised a variety of muddled objections and questions regarding program
design. Sawyer wonders whether sexual perverts will be assigned to work closely
with vulnerable populations such as children or the frail aged (Sawyer, 2003,
16). Obviously, ELR employers will carefully screen the pool of potential ELR
workers, just as childcare and aged care centers are expected and required by
law to do. Neither would women’s shelters hire wife-beating males out of the ELR
pool. Indeed, no ELR employer would be forced to hire any particular ELR worker.
Different approaches could be taken to dealing with the (probably small)
residual pool of ELR workers than no ELR employer wanted to hire. One approach
would be to have the state or federal government stand by as the ELR employer of
last resort, designing jobs that would be appropriate for such workers.
Alternatively, these workers could be sent to training programs, to counseling,
to substance-abuse treatment, or whatever alternative was appropriate to dealing
with their problems—as a condition of receiving the ELR wages and benefits.
2. Is ELR slavery? Many critics have wondered how
ELR differs from forced-labor such as the US slavery system in the pre-civil war
south, or from Nazi concentration camps of the 1930s and 1940s. The answer is
obvious: only those who sign up for ELR employment are eligible to work in the
program; and any ELR worker is free to walk off any ELR job at any time. Those
who do not want to work in the ELR program would be free to refuse ELR work. By
the same token, ELR employers would be free to fire workers for inappropriate
behavior (substandard work; illegal activities; and so on). ELR workers might be
given some number of chances, but after an individual is fired, say, three
times, she would not be permitted to register for the ELR program for a
specified period. As Minsky put it, ELR tries to “take workers as they are” but
reasonable, minimum standards would be maintained for those wishing to
participate in the program.
3. How to handle fluctuation: Sawyer (2003) has
argued that participation in the program would fluctuate between zero employees
in a business cycle expansion and millions of employees in a recession. This
would, he claims, make the program unmanageable. He appears to arrive at this
conclusion by equating the ELR pool with some official measure of unemployment,
and then assuming that economic expansions reduce the number of unemployed to
zero. In practice, of course, no expansion ever eliminates even the officially
unemployed—the Clinton boom left 6 million officially unemployed people behind.
Second, as Pigeon and Wray (2000) have demonstrated, even at the peak of the
Clinton boom there may have been 12 million “potentially employable” workers
between the ages of 25-64, or three times the number of officially unemployed in
that age group. The Bush recession resulted in the loss of 3 million jobs,
presumably adding significantly to the number of potentially employable. In any
case, the cyclical swing in the ELR pool would not be so large that it would
create insurmountable problems for program organizers, or for ELR employers. As
Mitchell and Wray (2005) discuss, it might be desirable to create two types of
ELR jobs—those that would be maintained across the business cycle, and “off the
shelf” projects that would be undertaken only when the ELR pool expanded
sufficiently.
4. How to set the wage and benefits package: The
goal would be to set the wage and benefit package at a “living standard”
level—appropriate to the society under consideration. Recall that the ELR
program will establish the effective “wage unit”. Let us suppose that the ELR
wage is set at $10 per hour (plus benefits)—this will become the minimum
“market” wage. If, before ELR were implemented, the market wage for the basic
labor unit had been only $6, the society would experience a one-time adjustment
of wages and perhaps prices (in practice this adjustment process could take some
time). However, if the ELR wage is then held constant at $10 per hour, it serves
as a stabilizing force by setting the wage unit. This makes it clear that the
initial setting is not so important and, indeed, is somewhat arbitrary.
Stability once it is set is what is important. Over time, it is likely that the
price of a typical consumer basket will rise (or fall) relative to the wage
unit—in which case there will be political pressure to raise (or lower) the ELR
wage. We prefer to have infrequent adjustments of the wage unit—to preserve the
wage-and-price stabilizing effects—hence, we do not support automatic indexing.
Rather, increases of the ELR wage would go through the political process, much
as changes to minimum wages now do.
5. BIG’s Achilles’ Heel
BIG can be highly inflationary
As we explained in the subsection
on price stability, the value of the dollar is determined on the margin by what
must be done to obtain it.
If money “grew on trees”, its value would be determined by the amount of labor
required to harvest money from trees. In an ELR program, the value of the dollar
is determined on the margin by the number of minutes required to earn a dollar
working in the ELR job—six minutes in our example above. Assuming that BIG
provides an equivalent payment of $20,000 per year to all citizens ($10 per hour
for a normal 2000 hour working year), the value of the dollar on the margin
would be the amount of labor involved in retrieving and opening the envelope
containing the annual check from the treasury, divided by 20,000. Obviously, the
purchasing power of the dollar in terms of labor units would be infinitesimally
small under a universal BIG scheme. Again, as we said above, this is the logical
conclusion of the inflationary process that would be set-off by implementation
of such a BIG program—it might not happen overnight.
The BIG Inflationary Trap
As BIG sets off inflation, it
erodes the purchasing power of the BIG check. In order to maintain its policy
goals (i.e. pull people out of poverty or maintain a descent standard of
living), the basic income payment must necessarily increase to compensate for
the inflationary pressures. If the payment is not increased, we will have
a “one-off” inflation each time the recipients receive their check; but this
check will not be able to buy the (now) more expensive goods necessary to
maintain the desirable standard of living. So if policy keeps the basic income
at the original level, the benefit will be deficient—indeed, would become
essentially worthless.
Since the objective is that people
are in fact capable of buying the minimum desirable basket of goods and
services, the basic income payment must be redefined upward. This, however,
further increases prices and erodes the BIG purchasing power. We are caught in a
vicious cycle, which creates (what we can term here) “an inflationary trap”. As
the value of the currency deteriorates, the purchasing power drops,
necessitating an increase in the benefit. As the level of the minimum guaranteed
income is redefined upward to compensate for the drop in purchasing power, the
value of the currency drops further, commanding another increase in BIG payment.
This is not just a vicious but also a hyperinflationary cycle created by the BIG
trap—the income that aims to provide people with the resources for a decent
standard of living is continually eroded thus depriving them of these resources.
BIG is therefore self-defeating. As inflations affect the poor more than the
wealthy, BIG harms precisely those people whom it intends to help the most.
What must be recognized here is that in a modern monetary economy,
unconditional provision of monetary income does not offer the means to a good
standard of living, rather it erodes these means; i.e., it redefines that
standard of living (or the poverty line, if that is the desired benchmark) in
monetary terms.
6. How ELR addresses some of BIG’s goals without
introducing its disadvantages.
While the primary objective of an ELR is
somewhat narrower than that of BIG—it only aims to eliminate unemployment while
maintaining stable prices—it accomplishes a number of goals that are important
to BIG advocates as well. Most importantly for the purposes of this paper, ELR
does not introduce inflationary pressures.
As discussed above, the ELR wage
unit maintains a relatively constant purchasing power of the dollar—the dollar
will be worth the amount of labor it can hire out of the ELR labor pool. This is
a major advantage over basic income. ELR does not introduce inflationary
pressures for several reasons. The most important one is that it fixes the value
of the currency to the labor buffer stock wage.
ELR does not suffer from the
inflation trap characteristic to BIG and if the wage is set at the living wage
level (something which most job guarantee supporters favor), neither does it
have the unemployment or poverty trap that BIG proponents fear.
ELR brings other advantages. First
it is universal and purely voluntary. We strongly object to punitive
conditionality criteria or demeaning means-tests. Furthermore ELR jobs provide
not only an income but also socially valuable goods and services.
Among BIG advocates Van Parijs,
for example recognizes that even a colossal BIG program may not resolve issues
such as inadequate housing, education, healthcare—all key components of a decent
standard of living. Parijs acknowledges that a BIG must be part of a more
comprehensive social policy that includes other programs, but very little
discussion is devoted to how we can ensure these other necessities are provided.
What ELR offers is a vehicle
for achieving many of the goals that society democratically determines are worth
pursuing. If the goal is the adequate provision of care for the young, sick, and
elderly, then ELR can explicitly incorporate these services in its institutional
structure. If it is deemed that communities require environmental cleanup, then
ELR jobs can be targeted specifically to solving these problems. In other words
ELR can be designed as an open and flexible program that can serve many societal
needs. Later when we discuss the Argentinean case we explain how this can be
done with the least intrusive form of government intervention.
ELR can also broaden the meaning
of work by recognizing certain activities as socially useful and by compensating
for them. By extension then, through the many forms of community involvement
which are now recognized as legitimate ELR jobs, we foster advanced citizenship,
reciprocity and social cohesion.
Perhaps it is readily obvious that
an ELR job necessarily increases worker bargaining power. By establishing a
minimum guaranteed wage, coupled with a mandatory benefits and vacation package,
the ELR job sets the standard for the private sector. When private firms need to
expand employment, they can do so by hiring ELR workers at a premium from the
public sector, i.e. they provide marginally higher wages and benefits (or
promises of advancement) to lure workers into the private sector jobs.
Finally ELR increases efficiency. By
training and educating workers and maintaining them as gainfully employed, ELR
also enhances human capital, thus the detrimental effects of idleness and
unemployment are avoided. ELR also increases efficiency because it increases
production, maintains human capital and protects the environment.
7. Jefes de Hogar (Heads of
Household) Plan: Argentina’s answer to Job Creation and Social Inclusion
The most recent experience with
direct job creation in Argentina lends support to the arguments in the previous
section.
Through most of the 1990s,
Argentina had been the poster child for the Washington Consensus, adopting a
currency board, opening markets, downsizing government, and freeing capital.
After its economy collapsed and unemployment and poverty skyrocketed, it
implemented a limited employer of last resort program called Plan
Jefes de Hogar, to provide jobs to poor heads of households. A Labor
Ministry economist, Daniel Kostzer, had become familiar with the ELR proposals
developed in the US and helped to design and implement the Jefes program.
By most measures, the program has been a tremendous success, providing jobs to 2
million workers at its peak or about 5% of the population, and about 13% of the
labor force. Argentina's experience allows us to assess the viability of ELR
programs and to demonstrate how ELR achieves some of the goals of income and job
guarantee proponents without the disastrous consequences on the currency.
The Jefes program provides
a payment of 150 pesos per month to a head of household for a minimum of 4 hours
of work daily. Participants work in community services and small construction or
maintenance activities, or are directed to training programs (including
finishing basic education). The household must contain children under age 18,
persons with handicaps, or a pregnant woman. Households are generally limited to
one participant in the Jefes program. The program was intended to be the
government’s primary program to deal with the economic crisis that gripped
Argentina with the collapse of the currency board.
Presently government’s total
spending on Jefes is equal to less than 1% of GDP, with nearly 1.5
million participants. The size of the program was a concern, not only because of
organizational demands but also because of the cost. However, it should be noted
that the US spends 1% of GDP on social assistance, while France and the UK spend
3-4% of GDP on such programs. Given a national poverty rate above 50%, and with
9.6 million indigents and a child poverty rate approaching 75%, Argentina’s
spending is small relative to needs.
According to the World Bank’s
reviews (see for example World Bank Report No: 23710-AR), the program has been
highly successful in achieving a number of goals. First, program spending is
well targeted to the intended population—poor households with children. Second,
the program has provided needed services and small infrastructure projects in
poor communities, with most projects successfully completed and operating.
Third, the program has increased income of poor households, although it has not
pulled them above the poverty line (this is not surprising, because of the low
monthly income provided through the program).
A. Program is Well Targeted
In addition to the World Bank
assessment, various other studies have found that the program is well targeted
(see also Galasso and Ravallion (2003), Lopez and Paz (2003), Cortés et all
(2003), and Marshall (2004)). The beneficiaries are largely those of households
with at least one unmet basic need (Figure 1). These are people who live in
overcrowded or otherwise inadequate housing conditions, with poor sanitation and
very high dependency ratios, which measure the number of family members per
employed person in the household. Secondly, Jefes workers are individuals
with low educational attainment and low income; the vast majority of Jefes
beneficiaries have high school education or less (Figure 2) and fall primarily
in the bottom two income quintiles (Figure 3). One surprising result has been
the significant influx of women into the program, who account for 64% of program
participants (Figure 4). As the Jefes income is rather small, it seems
that often the woman has been designated the “head of the household” in order to
receive the benefit as a supplementary income, while the man in the household
attempts to find work elsewhere. There is however evidence that men are
beginning to take advantage of this program in increasing numbers. The entry of
women in the economically active population is largely possible because Jefes
recognizes childcare as a socially useful activity that deserves remuneration
(more below).
LINK TO FIGURES
C. Program is Well Designed
The Argentinean experience shows
that an ELR program can be up and running in a very short period of time. In
Argentina, this took no more than five months.
Furthermore, the program has allowed local and municipal governments who are
most familiar with the economic needs of their communities to administer the
program.
One of the most distinguishing
features of the program’s institutional design is its decentralized model of
administration. The Argentinean federal government provides the funding, general
guidelines for the execution of work projects, and some auxiliary services for
managing the program. Such services include maintaining a national registry of
program beneficiaries, as well as databases that track all projects that have
been proposed, approved, denied and completed. Note that all these databases are
publicly available, thereby increasing transparency and reducing corruption.
One of the advantages to Basic
Income is considered to be its administrative simplicity and transparency
(Clark, 2002, 17). While we agree that an ELR program involves a far more
complex administration, the Argentinean experience shows that the management and
supervision can be simplified significantly and made more transparent.
The actual administration of the
program, however, is primarily executed by the municipal governments. The
municipalities are responsible for assessing the pressing needs and available
resources of their communities and for evaluating the projects proposed by the
local non-profits or NGOs. For the projects that have been approved, the
municipality contacts program beneficiaries informing them of the availability,
time, and place of work. For details on the administration of the program, see
Appendix I.
B. Program is Well Received
The response of the beneficiaries
to the Jefes plan has been overwhelmingly positive. As Figure 5 shows,
only a small fraction of Jefes workers have said that they are
dissatisfied with the program, while 90% are either satisfied or very satisfied
with it. When asked how they felt when requesting the program, most people (over
70%) reported “respected” as opposed to “undervalued” or “politically used”
(Figure 6). Some of the reasons for this satisfaction include the opportunity
“to do something” and “help the community,” but note that the second largest
reason for satisfaction that people report is the good environment that Jefes
jobs provide (Figure 7). When asked what they would prefer to do as part of
Jefes, most people stated that they would like to be involved in training
and community projects (Figure 8).
LINK TO FIGURES
D. Program Produces Successful Projects
~ Jefes is Empowering: the Meaning of Work
One of the most interesting
results of the Jefes program is that it demonstrates that a decentralized
program can be used to increase political participation and foster grass-roots
democracy among groups that had traditionally been marginalized. The
decentralized mode of administration, allows the municipalities to determine the
kinds of jobs they most desperately need. As explained above federal government
intervention is kept to a minimum. Not only has the program empowered the
communities and its members to take greater control and authority over the
resources that affect their lives, but it has also recognized various kinds of
activities as socially useful that deserve remuneration, thereby helping
redefine the meaning of work. For example, in the past, some people have
delivered medicine or read newspapers to the elderly on purely voluntary basis;
now the Jefes program allows for these to be paid activities. Many other
undertakings that may not be in the purview of profit-making enterprises, such
as environmental cleanup, are also part of these government-funded jobs.
The Argentinean experience shows
that most projects are successfully completed. These are not "make work"
projects of "digging holes" as most critics have claimed. The projects provide
real benefits to the community. Further, by increasing political participation,
the program ensures that even when beneficiaries leave the program, the
community will continue to benefit from the enhanced feeling of community.
~ Formalizing the Market and Reintegration of Jefes
Workers into the Private Sector
Argentina’s program provides strong evidence that it ‘formalizes’ underground
activity. By registering the unemployed, issuing them social security cards,
involving them in training and employment, and assisting them in reentering the
private sector markets, the program is able to move people from the informal to
the formal sector. Gray economic activities are slowly eliminated.
As Figure 12 demonstrates, the number of program participants has steadily
declined since its peak in May 2003. Part of the decline is due to participants
moving to other programs such as Familias and PEL.
Nonetheless, a significant number of people have moved into the private sector.
This implies that efforts to reintegrate Jefes workers into the labor
market are largely successful.
The next chart (Figure 13) shows
the evolution in the ‘insertion rate’ of beneficiaries into the labor market.
While more recent data is not presently available, we see that in September
2003, over 76,000 Jefes workers entered the labor market. Note that this
was at a time when the economy was still in disarray. Today, as the economy
recovers more robustly the reinsertion rate is expected to be noticeably higher,
as evidenced by the steady decline in program beneficiaries. Therefore, the
Jefes program has been able to (re)integrate its workers into private sector
activities.
We have long argued that the ELR
wage will put a floor on wages in both the private and public sectors. The
Argentinean experience demonstrates that this is the case (see Figure 14). When
examining the wages which Jefes beneficiaries receive after (re)entering
the private sector, we observe that over 93 percent of these workers receive
wages of 150 pesos or above. This means that the Jefes wage is the
effective minimum wage in the economy.
LINK TO FIGURES
E.
Jefes Impact on:
~
Indigence and Poverty
Jefes has been very
successful in reducing indigence rates among its participants. Indigence is
extreme poverty measured in income necessary to purchase the minimum amount of
food calories per day. After only four months after the implementation of
Jefes in April 2002, the indigence rates among participating households had
fallen by nearly 25% and among individuals by over 18% (Figure 15). As noted
above, reduction in poverty has been negligent, largely because the program
restricts participation to heads of household and because the income it provides
is below the official poverty line.
LINK TO FIGURES
~ Unemployment
The effect on unemployment has
been somewhat limited. It is obvious, however, that immediately after the
implementation of the Jefes program in April of 2002 the unemployment
rate fell by several percentage points (Figure 16). In May 2002, the
unemployment rate was a record 21.5 percent, while in May 2003 it had dropped to
15.6 percent. Today the unemployment rate stands at 14.8 percent, however the
methodology of measurement had changed in 2003. As a result, the labor force
participation rate jumped significantly primarily because much broader and
detailed survey questions were being asked, making the unemployment rate
significantly larger than under the old methodology. While it is difficult at
present to compare the series, we estimate that under the old methodology the
unemployment rate today would have been close to 12 percent, which means a drop
of almost 50% from its record levels in May 2002. We emphasize that the very
fact that Jefes limits participation to heads of household is the primary
reason why the drop in unemployment is not as large as one would hope.
LINK
TO FIGURES
~ Macroeconomic Stability
Before concluding, we consider
Argentina’s macroeconomic conditions, such as currency stability, inflation and
demand. It has been our contention that the introduction of ELR will not
introduce currency or price instability. After the collapse of the currency
board in January 2002, the peso quickly devalued, plunging to 3.76 pesos to the
dollar in early October of the same year. Since then, the exchange rate has
improved and stabilized around 3 pesos to the dollar (Figure 17).
LINK TO FIGURES
The rate of inflation has
similarly stabilized. Prior to the collapse of the currency board, both the
consumer and producer price indexes had been declining on yearly basis.
With the devaluation of the peso, both indexes skyrocketed, with producer prices
experiencing the most dramatic increase, due to the high import content of
domestic production. However, for the last two years, prices have sharply fallen
and stabilized to single-digit yearly rates of change (Figure 18). In the
meantime, demand has steadily increased (Figure 19) and production has expanded
robustly (Figure 20).
LINK TO FIGURES
In addition the macroeconomic
impact of the Jefes program is significant. The Argentine
ministry of labor estimates that the effect of Jefes on growth is
overwhelmingly positive. The multiplier effect of the increase in income due to
the Jefes benefit is a whopping 2.57.
Thus the impact of 150 pesos per person per month for 1.8 million people (the
number of beneficiaries at the time of these calculations), is an annual
addition of 8.327 billion pesos or 2.49% of GDP (See Appendix II for detailed
discussion and calculations).
Conclusion: Can there be synthesis?
The Argentinean experience is the
most recent example of an ELR to demonstrate that a job creation program can be
designed such that it provides a needed social safety net, it enhances civic
participation, it fosters grass-roots democracy, and it broadens the meaning of
work, without disastrous consequences on the currency. The program’s
administration has allowed for increased transparency, quick implementation, at
manageable cost and little intrusive government intervention. All of these are
highly desirable goals shared by BIG and ELR supporters.
If we can speak of
synthesis at all, an ELR demonstrates how a participation income or civic
minimum should be structured. But to the extent that BIG supporters insist on
the absence of a work requirement, we object to such a proposal on the grounds
that it devalues the currency. However, a job guarantee coupled with a basic
income for the young and frail old (and disabled of all ages) is a promising
policy alternative, which is within our reach and which can counter many of the
modern market and welfare state imperfections.
LINK TO FIGURES
Appendix I: Institutional Design and
Administration of Jefes
The MCC and the municipality make a
diagnosis of the community, identifying social needs and available resources.
The municipality in conjunction
with the Municipal Consultative Council (MCC) informs the governmental agencies
and non-profit non-governmental agencies (NGOs) of the possibility for
developing projects/activities which require the participation of program
beneficiaries. After the diagnosis of community needs, various organizations
(governmental or otherwise) design proposals of activities or projects which are
then presented to the municipality and the MCC. The MCC evaluates the submitted
proposals and rules on whether they should be authorized or rejected. Depending
on the ruling the municipality either approves or rejects the proposals.
In either case, the decision is filed
in an archive, so that the ruling is available for future audits. The
municipality informs the project-executing organizations of the approval or
rejection of their proposal and, in the former case, assigns the participating
beneficiaries. It then sends to GECAL a summary of the activities and
beneficiaries under its jurisdiction. The municipality publishes the listing of
the approved projects/activities. The project-executing organization contacts
the beneficiaries, informing to them of the place and schedule of their assigned
work. The beneficiaries commence the corresponding activities. The MCC oversees
the completion of the tasks and evaluates the outcome of the projects which are
being executed. It also develops a report for submission to the Provincial
Consultative Council and GECAL.
There are several
key features of this design that deserve emphasis. First the central authority
only provides the general guidelines of the program. Second, the local
municipalities who are most familiar with the specific needs of the communities
are the ones who actually administer the program. Third, the projects are well
targeted to the needs of the localities and they are performed by non-profits,
NGOs or governmental agencies, which already exist and operate within these
localities. Fourth, employment in the public sector prepares beneficiaries for
private sector employment. Beneficiaries are registered in a government
database, according to the projects they have completed and the training they
have undertaken. This registry in effect provides a visible and employable pool
of labor to potential employers. Furthermore, by registering workers using their
newly issued social security numbers, the database serves the purpose of
formalizing the labor market. When private employers hire from this pool of
labor, they are obliged to pay social security and unemployment insurance
benefits to these worker


Appendix II: The
Multiplier Effect of Jefes
To calculate the Multiplier
effect on GDP, the following data is also used:
GDP = 334 billion pesos
(current prices)
Number of Jefes
beneficiaries = 1.8 million
Monthly Jefes wage
= 150 pesos
The increase in annual income
due to the Jefes wage equals to:
1.8 million x 150 x 12
months = 3,240 million pesos annually
Therefore the multiplier
effect is:
3,240 x 2.57 = 8,327
million pesos annual addition to GDP, or 2.49% of GDP
The Ministry of Labor offers
an alternative estimate of the multiplier, which uses a much larger marginal
propensity to import m=0.15, which further reduces the multiplier to
2.28. In this case the total annual increase in GDP is 7,387 billion, or
2.21% of GDP:
3,240 x
2.28 = 7,387 million pesos addition to GDP or 2.21% of GDP
Some BIG schemes propose a basic income to all citizens, and not just to
adults. See for example Clark (2004).
The program was born via a presidential degree in January 2002 during
the short term of president Duhale, but was actually signed into law on
April 3, 2002 (see Decreto Nº 565/2002- Creación del
PROGRAMA JEFES DE HOGAR para ser aplicado mientras dure la Emergencia
Ocupacional Nacional). Between April 3 and May 17, 2002 most unemployed
heads of households who were ready, willing and able to work and who met
the eligibility conditions were issued social security cards and
registered in a national database. Participants were also required to
register their children in school and take the necessary vaccinations.
These are two added benefits of the program design, made possible by
simple eligibility criteria.
This, according to their methodology, is a conservative estimate. To
calculate disposable income, the greater VAT tax on consumption goods of
21% is used, as opposed to the 13% percent income tax, which
substantially reduces the value of the multiplier. Furthermore, the
marginal propensity to consume (mpc) is set to 0.9, even though
there are strong reasons to believe that for those people in the lowest
income quintiles (i.e., those receiving the Jefes income) the
value of mpc is closer to 1. In other words the poorest workers
consumer their wages in their entirety leaving nothing to savings.