Paying Interest on Reserve Balances: It’s More
Significant Than You Think
Scott T. Fullwiler1
Wartburg College and the Center for Full
Employment and Price Stability
It has long been recognized that
uncompensated reserve balances act like a tax on banks and that banks as a
result expend scarce resources to avoid holding them. The Fed itself has
historically supported legislation to enable it to pay interest on reserve
balances (e.g., Kohn 2003), as have economists (e.g., Goodfriend 2002), both for
reasons of economic efficiency and to improve the implementation of monetary
policy. The traditional argument against interest payment has been that it
would reduce the Fed’s earnings that are subsequently turned over to the
Treasury (Feinman 1993b; Abernathy 2003). The purpose of this paper is to
demonstrate the implications of paying interest on reserve balances on the daily
operations of both the Fed and the Treasury. While the arguments here—for
different reasons—generally are in favor of enabling the Fed to pay interest on
reserve balances, more important than the actual payment of such interest is the
perspective gained when considering in detail the operations of both in an
environment where reserve balances earn interest.
The Accommodative Nature of the Fed’s Operations
and Interest Payment on Reserve Balances
In the federal funds market banks
borrow and lend reserve balances held in reserve accounts at the Fed; most of
the trades are accomplished either through pre-existing lines of credit or
arranged via brokers. The Fed uses open market operations, overdrafts (provided
automatically whenever a bank’s reserve account moves into negative
balance), and overnight loans to ensure the quantity of reserve balances
circulating is such that the federal funds rate remains as close as possible to
the FOMC’s target rate. Since reserve balances are liabilities on the Fed’s
balance sheet, banks in the aggregate have no effect upon their quantity; by
definition, only changes in the Fed’s balance sheet can alter the quantity of
reserve balances.2
The Fed’s necessary accommodation of the demand
for reserve balances is obvious when one considers daily operations in the
absence of reserve requirements. Without reserve requirements, banks hold
non-interest-bearing reserve balances only to settle payments such as checks
drawn on customer accounts or Fedwire funds transfers for direct payments to
other banks, the Treasury, or as settlement of netted clearinghouse
transactions. In order to avoid the Fed’s overdraft charges (discussed in
Fullwiler 2003), banks desire to hold sufficient reserve balances to settle
their net payment commitments for the day. A bank holding less than this amount
would attempt to borrow more reserve balances, while one holding more would
attempt to lend the excess. In the aggregate, too many or too few reserve
balances circulating leads to wide swings in the federal funds rate since such
lending/borrowing among banks does not affect the aggregate quantity of reserve
balances. Too few balances could also threaten the smooth functioning of the
payments system, which the Fed is charged in the Federal Reserve Act with
protecting. Larger quantities of reserve balances do not “fund” more money
creation since there is no operative constraint on bank lending beyond
the existence of willing, creditworthy borrowers. In other words, loans create
deposits while reserve balances only settle payments (Moore 1988; Wray
1998, 2003-4; Fullwiler 2003).
Adding reserve requirements is
simply one way to reduce potential volatility in the federal funds rate. First,
reserve requirements require banks to hold more reserve balances and thereby
reduce the likelihood of overnight overdrafts. Second, because reserve
requirements are met on average across a lengthy maintenance period,
deficiencies or surpluses on most days can be offset later in the maintenance
period. Together these provide “room for error” for the Fed as it attempts to
correctly forecast the demand for reserve balances at the target rate (Fullwiler
2003). However, reserve balances still do not “fund” money creation and are
still necessarily supplied endogenously to accommodate banks’ demand for
them—albeit as a daily average across the maintenance period.
Concerns expressed in recent years
about increased variability in the federal funds rate due to falling required
reserves (reviewed in Fullwiler 2003) or due to e-money-related innovations to
the payments system (reviewed in Fullwiler 2004) often did not consider the
regulatory factors enabling such volatility in the first place. Specifically,
the possible range of variability in the federal funds rate is determined by the
spread between the rate the Fed pays on reserve balances and the rate the Fed
charges for overnight overdrafts (hereafter, referred to as simply the
“spread”). As reserve balances have historically been non-interest bearing
while the Fed also strongly discouraged borrowing at the discount window to
cover an overdraft (which themselves carry significant penalties if not covered
by the end of the business day), the “spread” has effectively been very wide.
The Fed had earlier relied on reserve requirements and its ability to correctly
forecast the demand for reserve balances to keep federal funds rate volatility
at manageable levels, though the volatility became less manageable in the late
1990s as banks avoided reserve requirements through use of retail sweep accounts
and the demand for reserve balances became more closely tied to less predictable
settlement needs (Fullwiler 2003). Narrowing the “spread” itself—by providing
overnight loans to any bank at a modest penalty above the target rate and paying
interest on reserve balances at a discount below the target rate—is more direct
and more effective at reducing volatility, as nations that have eliminated
reserve requirements have shown (Woodford 2001).
In January 2003 the Fed abandoned its
traditional discouragement of borrowing at the discount window; the Fed now
lends to any qualifying bank desiring a loan at the primary lending rate, set as
a one percent penalty above the federal funds rate. In its first year, the
primary lending rate was predictably “effective in limiting increases or capping
the fund rate on days when strong upward pressures did emerge”3
(Federal Reserve Bank of New York 2004, 24). Paying interest on reserve
balances—at a rate set some fixed magnitude below the FOMC’s target—would
obviously further contain potential volatility in the federal funds rate by
setting a floor on how low the federal funds rate could fall. A substantially
reduced “spread” in which the Fed set both “bid” and “ask” rates on federal
funds would effectively make the Fed a real-time market maker in the federal
funds market and would be the monetary policy implementation procedure most
consistent with the Fed’s necessary accommodation of the demand for reserve
balances.
That reserve balances only settle payments or
meet reserve requirements means that the demand for them is insensitive to
changes in the federal funds rate. Though there is overlap, this point can be
separated from variability in the federal funds rate, whose potential is
determined by the width of the “spread.” Due to this inelasticity, the Fed is
able to alter the federal funds rate without altering the quantity of reserve
balances at all, regardless of the width of the “spread”4 (Krieger
2000; Fullwiler 2003, 2004). With interest-bearing reserve balances, clearly
the Fed could simply alter both the primary lending rate and rate paid on
reserve balances together to move the federal funds rate to a new target. This
would again be consistent with the Fed’s preferred practice of simply announcing
a new target rate and preferable to earlier times (pre-1994) when federal funds
traders learned of a new target through the Fed’s “signals” sent via open market
operations that would later be offset (Feinman 1993a; Fullwiler 2003).
In summary, as the Fed itself
argues, its ability to manage the federal funds rate would be simplified through
interest payment on reserve balances. More importantly and much like
consideration of the Fed’s operations without reserve requirements, considering
monetary operations with a narrow “spread”—where reserve balances are interest
bearing—is a useful starting point—or even general case—for understanding their
nature. With a narrow “spread,” the Fed accommodates the demand for reserve
balances in real time and is able to adjust the federal funds rate target
without additional operations by simply raising or lowering the “bid” and “ask”
rates on reserve balances. There is no question that the Fed can achieve the
federal funds rate target with minimal volatility and also alter the target as
desired via announcement. With a wide “spread,” Fed operations must anticipate
banks’ demand for reserve balances to avoid swings in the federal funds rate.
Nonetheless, changes to the federal funds rate target even with a wide “spread”
require essentially no change to reserve balances since banks can do nothing
more than settle payments and meet reserve requirements with them. Because
the general and special cases have been historically confused, economists have
been led to publish volumes of research on deposit multipliers, liquidity
effects, and the possibility that the Fed might not be able to manage volatility
in the federal funds rate.
The Offsetting Nature of the Treasury’s Security
Operations
and Interest Payment on Reserve Balances
As a liability on the Fed’s balance
sheet, changes to the Treasury’s account necessarily and by definition
change the quantity of reserve balances circulating, ceteris paribus.
That is, reserve balances increase whenever the Treasury spends and
decrease whenever the Treasury receives a payment. Daily net flows
to/from the Treasury’s account as credits/debits to bank reserve accounts are
substantial and are regularly the largest and least predictable of all changes
to the Fed’s balance sheet (e.g., Meulendyke 1998; Federal Reserve Bank of New
York 2004). The Treasury has historically manipulated balances held in
correspondent accounts at thousands of banks across the country—called Treasury
Tax and Loan (hereafter, TT&L) accounts—to offset net changes to its account and
to thereby minimize the net impact upon reserve balances (Lovett 1978; Hamilton
1997; Meulendyke 1998; Wray 1998; Bell 2000; Bell and Wray 2002-3; Fullwiler
2004). From the logic of the Fed’s balance sheet, absent Treasury transfers to
and from these accounts to offset daily net flows to/from the Treasury’s
account, the Fed itself would be required to carry out operations of the same
size to accommodate the demand for reserve balances and achieve the FOMC’s
target. Indeed, during 1974-1977, there was no TT&L system and the Fed’s daily
operations became significantly more complicated as a result (Lovett 1978).
To support the Fed’s operations, TT&L balances
are called in to offset Treasury induced modest and temporary net additions to
reserve balances. Operationally, when larger or more permanent net additions to
reserve balances are made by the Treasury, offsetting sales of bonds are used to
drain the reserve balances. Treasury bond sales have thus been referred to as
“interest rate maintenance operations” (Mosler 1995; Wray 1998) since—just as
without the TT&L system for smaller and shorter-term deficits—without them it
would be necessary for the Fed itself to drain the same quantity of reserve
balances through open market sales to support a non-zero federal funds rate
target. Instead of the complexities of the TT&L system and bond sales, the more
direct and more efficient method of interest rate support would be for the Fed
to simply pay interest on reserve balances. With interest-bearing reserve
balances (IBRBs), absent offsetting Treasury or Fed operations to drain excess
balances created by a deficit, the federal funds rate would simply settle at the
rate paid on reserve balances. The nature of Treasury bond sales as offsetting,
interest-rate support rather than finance would be obvious. While the private
sector is offered an interest-bearing liability of the government in the
presence of a deficit to support a non-zero interest rate target, this does not
necessitate that the Treasury sells bonds.
Such actions are sometimes feared to undermine
the independence of monetary policy by creating excess balances, though with
IBRBs replacing bond sales the Fed’s independence and ability to exogenously
adjust the federal funds rate target would be uncompromised and would simply
require increasing or decreasing the rate paid on IBRBs. Regardless of the
quantity of excess balances, the federal funds rate would not fall below this
rate and would continue to influence other rates in the economy via arbitrage
since banks use reserve balances to settle their customers’ tax liabilities (Fullwiler
2004). Holders of deposits so desiring could convert to short-term, private
liabilities—just as they can now—the rates for which would be set primarily via
arbitrage with the Fed’s target. Long-term rates—just as now—would be largely
dependent upon the current and expected future paths of short term rates. Those
desiring fixed- instead of flexible-rate investments—perhaps banks holding IBRBs—could
do so through swaps that would be priced similarly. Without Treasuries,
government agency securities and swaps could emerge as benchmarks for pricing of
private assets, as is increasingly the case already and for which they are
better suited than Treasuries anyway. In sum, with a deficit the transmission
of monetary policy via IBRBs is identical to that with non-interest bearing
reserve balances (NIBRBs) and bond sales to drain excess balances.
With IBRBs, all Treasury securities could
eventually be replaced; the interest rate on the national debt would then be the
rate paid on IBRBs. Treasury securities themselves are simply fixed-rate
liabilities and from the private sector’s perspective not functionally different
from IBRBs aside from the flexible-rate nature of the latter. Note that
consideration of IBRBs demonstrates how interest on Treasury debt is
determined: with IBRBs and no securities issued, the interest rate is the rate
paid on IBRBs; where short-term securities are issued, as above these rates are
set via arbitrage with the Fed’s target; as longer maturities are issued, again
as above these rates are set largely via arbitrage with the expected path of the
Fed’s target. The “crowding out” view of the loanable funds market is
irrelevant; the rates on various types of Treasury debt are set by the current
and expected paths of monetary policy and according to liquidity premia on
fixed-rate debt of increasing maturity. Since long-term rates are normally
higher than short-term rates, total interest on the national debt would be
significantly reduced if IBRBs eventually replaced Treasuries. Those—like the
Treasury—fearful that IBRBs would reduce seigniorage income neglect that this
would be far outweighed by the reduction in total interest paid on a national
debt increasingly held as IBRBs. Indeed, there is no inherent reason for
Treasury liabilities to exist across the entire term structure except as support
operations for longer-term rates (Mitchell and Mosler 2002).
Deficits unaccompanied by bond sales are
disapprovingly labeled “monetization,” although there is no meaningful
difference from when bonds are issued. A government deficit always
creates net financial assets for the private sector (Mosler 1997-8; Mosler and
Forstater 1999); that is, when a deficit occurs, by definition the total credits
to recipient bank accounts due to government expenditures are greater than the
total debits from bank accounts to pay taxes. Whether bonds are issued to drain
excess balances has no effect upon the private sector’s net financial
assets: the bond purchaser replaces a bank liability with the bond, while her
bank’s liabilities and reserve balances are both debited; if the bond is sold
directly to a bank, then the bond simply replaces reserve balances (see Bell and
Wray 2002-3 or Wray 2003-4 for further discussion). (Even where the Fed is
prohibited legally from lending directly to the Treasury, bond sales themselves
create net financial assets when the bonds are credited since no bank
assets/liabilities are debited until deficit spending simultaneously re-credits
them.) Whether bonds are sold, the ability of banks to finance further private
spending is unaffected by debiting reserve balances or deposits created through
deficit spending; recall that since loans create deposits, if there are willing,
creditworthy borrowers then desired spending is financed in any event. For
deficits, what matters for the determination of aggregate spending and inflation
is not whether bonds are sold but whether the deficit is too large given
the private sector’s desire to net save.
To summarize, consideration of interest payment
on reserve balances demonstrates that bond sales are offsetting, interest-rate
maintenance operations, not financing operations. With IBRBs eventually the
entire national debt could be held exclusively as reserve balances. As Abba
Lerner (1943) envisioned, Treasury bond sales would occur simply because the
private sector desired Treasuries for use as collateral or as risk-free,
fixed-rate investments. With NIBRBs all reserve balances except those necessary
to settle payments are drained via security sales by either the Fed or the
Treasury. Reserve requirements necessitate that some additional reserve
balances be left in circulation. Thus, when a deficit is incurred, the quantity
of bonds sold depends upon the method of interest-rate maintenance. As the
impacts upon the net financial assets of the private sector from replacing
credited NIBRBs with an interest bearing bond or simply crediting IBRBs at the
outset are identical, it is arbitrary to refer to the former as “financing” and
to the latter as “monetization.” While government spending might be limited as
a result of self-imposed legislation or lack of public support, the federal
government is not financially constrained even where the Treasury issues
bonds.
Concluding Remarks
This paper has discussed how
interest payment on reserve balances could both simplify monetary policy
operations of the Fed and free the Treasury and the Fed from selling bonds to
support the Fed’s interest rate target. The more significant point is that
consideration of interest payment on reserve balances demonstrates the
accommodative nature of the Fed’s operations and the offsetting (rather than
“financing”) nature of the Treasury’s security operations.
Notes
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